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Jiri Lehecka vs Jan Lennard Struff — Basel Semi-final

BaselSemi-finalHardSat 31 Oct · 17:00CENTER COURT · After 1 match
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Lehecka J.
79%21%

Clear edge for Lehecka J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Lehecka J.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Struff J.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+248 Hard Elo edgeSupports Lehecka J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1922Supports Lehecka J.
This eventReached the R32 here last yearSupports Lehecka J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Lehecka J.
Recent run3-match win streakBoth players
ELO2 094
Hard ELO1 927
Last 107–3
Age24
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $2.1M
ELO2 002
Hard ELO1 790
Last 108–2
Age36
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M

Jiri Lehecka faces Jan Lennard Struff in the Basel semi-final on hard. Jiri Lehecka holds the paper edge — ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

12 shared · last 12 months
All 12 opponents →

Lehecka J. and Struff J. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Lehecka J. went 9–7 (56%) against them, Struff J. 7–10 (41%). Lehecka J. came out better against 5 of 11 comparable opponents, Struff J. against 3.

9–756%Lehecka J. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents7–1041%Struff J. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
21–19Sets21–25
196–193Games213–237
5–1Tiebreaks3–3
4–2Deciding sets3–3
Show 9 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Lehecka J. leads 3–0
Full H2H →
30

Clay: Lehecka J. leads 2–0 · Grass: Lehecka J. leads 1–0

Evidence

Lehecka J.Struff J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–38–2 (ahead)
Season win rate67% (40–20) (ahead)51% (26–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2094 (ahead)2002
Hard-court ELO1927 (ahead)1790
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 45 matches
1st-serve points won76%76%
Return points won35% (ahead)34%
Aces / match8.511.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 55 vs 45 matches
Break points saved68% (ahead)65%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 1 match · Not before 17:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 17:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity75%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Lehecka J.Struff J.
1Days since last match1
3 — fresherMatches · 7 days5
65 — fresherGames · 7 days139
5 — fresherMatches · 14 days8
112 — fresherGames · 14 days205
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jiri Lehecka vs Jan Lennard Struff — Basel Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-31/lehecka-vs-struff-basel-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 31 October 2026).