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Jan Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs — European Open - Brussels Quarter-final

European Open - BrusselsQuarter-finalHardFri 23 Oct · 20:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bergs Z.
34%66%

Bergs Z. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Struff J.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Bergs Z.6.0/10
Even match
Why
Surface+123 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bergs Z.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1808Supports Bergs Z.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Bergs Z.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Bergs Z.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
ELO1 962
Hard ELO1 742
Last 106–4
Age36
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 990
Hard ELO1 814
Last 106–4
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.5M

Jan Lennard Struff faces Zizou Bergs in the European Open - Brussels quarter-final on hard. Zizou Bergs holds the paper edge — ranked #41, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Struff J. and Bergs Z. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Struff J. went 2–7 (22%) against them, Bergs Z. 4–4 (50%). Bergs Z. came out better against 3 of 7 comparable opponents, Struff J. against 1.

2–722%Struff J. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–450%Bergs Z. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–20Sets11–12
124–161Games114–112
2–5Tiebreaks3–3
1–2Deciding sets2–1
Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Struff J.Bergs Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate47% (21–24)56% (30–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19621990 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17421814 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 51 matches
1st-serve points won75%75%
Return points won34%38% (ahead)
Aces / match10.7 (ahead)7.5
ClutchLast 39 vs 51 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

20:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Drizzle
Wind39 km/h
Humidity89%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Struff J.Bergs Z.
1Days since last match2 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
44Games · 7 days22 — fresher
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
93 — fresherGames · 14 days101
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jan Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs — European Open - Brussels Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/bergs-vs-struff-european-open-brussels-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).