Jan Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor — European Open - Brussels Final
Why
Surface+142 Hard Elo edgeSupports Griekspoor T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1789Supports Griekspoor T.
Head-to-headLeads 3–0 on hardSupports Griekspoor T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Struff J.
Recent run4-match win streakBoth players
ELO1 970
Hard ELO1 752
Last 107–3
Age36
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 904
Hard ELO1 815
Last 104–6
Age30
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $8.3M2026 $1.2M
Jan Lennard Struff faces Tallon Griekspoor in the European Open - Brussels final on hard. Tallon Griekspoor is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage — but Jan Lennard Struff arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Tallon Griekspoor's 4 of 10.
Key context
- Under pressure: Tallon Griekspoor has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 62 vs Jan Lennard Struff's 42).
- Serve & return: Tallon Griekspoor brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 43), Jan Lennard Struff the stronger return game (Return Rating 14).
- Last match: Tallon Griekspoor dropped the opening set before beating Francisco Cerundolo 2–6 6–3 7–6.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsStruff J. and Griekspoor T. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Struff J. went 1–4 (20%) against them, Griekspoor T. 3–2 (60%). Griekspoor T. came out better against 3 of 4 comparable opponents, Struff J. against 0.
1–420%Struff J. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–260%Griekspoor T. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
5–11Sets7–6
69–91Games70–69
1–2Tiebreaks2–2
0–1Deciding sets2–1
vs Lehecka J.#20L6-7 3-6Rome Masters · clayW4-6 6-4 6-3European Open - Brussels · hard
vs Cerundolo F.#21L7-5 5-7 6-4 2-6 3-6US Open · hardW2-6 6-3 7-6(4)European Open - Brussels · hard
vs Tabilo A.#31L3-6 4-6Cincinnati · hardL6-7(3) 6-4 4-6Washington · hard
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- vs Navone M.#45L0-6 3-6Kitzbuhel · clayW7-6(4) 7-5European Open - Brussels · hard
vs Hurkacz H.#30Hard to compareW3-6 6-7 7-6 7-5 4-2Wimbledon · grassL3-6 6-7United Cup · hard
Head-to-head
3 meetings · Griekspoor T. leads 3–003
- Griekspoor T.February 2025DohaHard7-6 7-6
- Griekspoor T.November 2024Davis Cup Finals SF: GER vs NEDHard6-7 7-5 6-4
- Griekspoor T.August 2021US OpenHard2-6 7-6 4-6 6-4 7-5
Evidence
Struff J.Griekspoor T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate49% (23–24) (ahead)41% (18–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1970 (ahead)1904
Hard-court ELO17521815 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)73%
Return points won34% (ahead)32%
Aces / match10.7 (ahead)8.9
ClutchLast 41 vs 40 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)60%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jan Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor — European Open - Brussels Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/griekspoor-vs-struff-european-open-brussels-f?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).