Jan Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo — US Open Round of 64
Lennard Struff J.
Jan Lennard Struff faces Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Francisco Cerundolo is the paper favourite — ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64 — but Jan Lennard Struff arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard to Francisco Cerundolo's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cerundolo F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Jan Lennard Struff grades 35 on serve, Francisco Cerundolo 91 on return.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Francisco Cerundolo has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 87 vs 51).
- Head-to-head: Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Munich 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadLennard Struff J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Munich | R32 | clay | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-0 6-2 |