Taylor Fritz vs Francisco CerundoloUS Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWW
2 — 3
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
Arthur Ashe Stadium · 2nd on
#25ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWL
Fritz T.
6-3 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6
Cerundolo F.
Fritz T.
663442
Cerundolo F.
346663

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Taylor Fritz in the Round of 32 at the US Open. The match went the full five sets, with Cerundolo ultimately prevailing 3-6, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4. Cerundolo and Fritz each converted 5 service breaks, though Fritz had a higher percentage of break points converted.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersQFclayTaylor Fritz6-1 3-6 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
88
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
37
89
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Fritz T.71%
Cerundolo F.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1838
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1931
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
69
44

Fritz T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 68 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 142 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw