Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil MedvedevMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Cerundolo F.
6-0 4-6 7-5
Medvedev D.
Cerundolo F.
6472
Medvedev D.
0651

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-0 4-6 7-5 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cerundolo F.Medvedev D.
13
Serve
47
67
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
96
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
86
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1880
Surface ELO
6.3+82 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1977
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
8.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
4.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.6
Country comfort
6.3
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
82

Cerundolo F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%