Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor — European Open - Brussels Semi-final
Why
Surface+104 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cerundolo F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1931Supports Cerundolo F.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Griekspoor T.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Cerundolo F.
ELO2 055
Hard ELO1 892
Last 106–4
Age28
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.8M2026 $2.9M
ELO1 892
Hard ELO1 804
Last 104–6
Age30
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $8.3M2026 $1.2M
Francisco Cerundolo faces Tallon Griekspoor in the European Open - Brussels semi-final on hard. Francisco Cerundolo is the paper favourite — ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Tallon Griekspoor rides a 3-match win streak.
Key context
- Serve & return: Tallon Griekspoor leads on Serve Rating (44), Francisco Cerundolo on Return Rating (74).
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Francisco Cerundolo has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 87 vs 61).
- Last match: Tallon Griekspoor dropped the opening set before beating Jiri Lehecka 4–6 6–4 6–3.
Common opponents
9 shared · last 12 monthsCerundolo F. and Griekspoor T. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Cerundolo F. went 8–6 (57%) against them, Griekspoor T. 4–6 (40%). Cerundolo F. came out better against 3 of 8 comparable opponents, Griekspoor T. against 1.
8–657%Cerundolo F. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents4–640%Griekspoor T. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
21–15Sets11–12
187–163Games121–122
2–3Tiebreaks2–3
1–0Deciding sets1–3
vs Zverev A.#2L2-6 4-6 4-6Australian Open · hardL5-7 0-6United Cup · hard
vs Rublev A.#22W6-3 7-6 6-3Australian Open · hardL4-6 7-5 6-7(6)Beijing · hard
vs Musetti L.#26L6-7 4-6Rome Masters · clayL4-6 5-7Madrid Masters · clay
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vs Blockx A.#27L6-7 2-6Madrid Masters · clayL7-6 3-6 4-6Rome Masters · clay
vs Tabilo A.#31W6-0 6-2Rome Masters · clayL6-7(3) 6-4 4-6Washington · hard
vs Van De Zandschulp B.#38W6-3 6-4 6-4Roland Garros · clayW6-2 6-4s Hertogenbosch · grass
vs Dzumhur D.#83W6-3 6-2 6-1Australian Open · hardW6-3 6-4Madrid Masters · clay
vs Zhang Z.#170W6-3 7-6 6-3Australian Open · hardL4-6s Hertogenbosch · grass
vs Navone M.#45Hard to compareW6-3 6-4Rio de Janeiro · clayW7-6(4) 7-5European Open - Brussels · hard
Evidence
Cerundolo F.Griekspoor T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate64% (37–21) (ahead)40% (17–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2055 (ahead)1892
Hard-court ELO1892 (ahead)1804
Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won71%73% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)32%
Aces / match4.28.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 53 vs 38 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)60%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor — European Open - Brussels Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/cerundolo-vs-griekspoor-european-open-brussels-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).