UMPIRY
EN

Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar — Basel Round of 16

BaselR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Jodar R.
38%62%

Jodar R. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Vacherot V.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Jodar R.7.1/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+20 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jodar R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1999Supports Jodar R.
This eventReached the R32 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Vacherot V.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Vacherot V.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO2 011
Hard ELO1 847
Last 105–5
Age27
Height193 cm
EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $1.1M
ELO2 092
Hard ELO1 874
Last 108–2
Age20
Height191 cm
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $2.5M

Valentin Vacherot faces Rafael Jodar in the Basel round of 16 on hard. Rafael Jodar holds the paper edge — ranked #11, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

10 shared · last 12 months

Vacherot V. and Jodar R. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Vacherot V. went 7–4 (64%) against them, Jodar R. 12–1 (92%). Jodar R. came out better against 3 of 10 comparable opponents, Vacherot V. against 0.

7–464%Vacherot V. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents12–192%Jodar R. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
17–11Sets25–6
149–141Games171–118
4–0Tiebreaks4–0
3–2Deciding sets4–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Vacherot V.Jodar R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–58–2 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (24–18)76% (57–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20112092 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18471874 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 70 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)70%
Return points won34%41% (ahead)
Aces / match10.3 (ahead)4.3
ClutchLast 39 vs 70 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast6°C · Fog
Wind5 km/h
Humidity97%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Vacherot V.Jodar R.
1Days since last match9 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
50Games · 7 days0 — fresher
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
50 — fresherGames · 14 days109
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar — Basel Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/jodar-vs-vacherot-basel-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).