Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev — Vienna Round of 32
Why
Surface+33 Hard Elo edgeSupports Paul T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1948Supports Paul T.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headTrails 1–3 on hardInformative
This eventReached the R32 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Rublev A.
ELO2 132
Hard ELO1 966
Last 106–4
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $15.8M2026 $2.9M
ELO2 003
Hard ELO1 839
Last 105–5
Age29
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $34.0M2026 $2.0M
Tommy Paul faces Andrey Rublev in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. They have met 6 times, Andrey Rublev leading 5–1, Andrey Rublev ahead 3–1 on hard. Tommy Paul brings the better recent hard form (4 of 7).
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Tommy Paul 147 games in 14 days, Andrey Rublev 28.
- Head-to-head: Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 5–1, 1–3 on hard. Last met at Shanghai Masters 2023.
- Stage: Andrey Rublev defends last year's round of 32.
Common opponents
10 shared · last 12 monthsPaul T. and Rublev A. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Paul T. went 7–6 (54%) against them, Rublev A. 5–6 (45%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 3 better-results split).
7–654%Paul T. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents5–645%Rublev A. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
18–16Sets12–14
162–156Games121–132
2–2Tiebreaks1–1
2–3Deciding sets1–2
vs Medvedev D.#5L3-6 6-1 3-6Shanghai Masters · hardL5-7 4-6Hangzhou · hard
vs Davidovich Fokina A.#13W6-3London · grassW6-4 6-4Rome Masters · clay
vs Tien L.#18L3-6 2-6Montreal · hardW6-4 6-4Paris Masters · hard
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vs Cerundolo F.#21L7-6 4-6 3-6London · grassL3-6 6-7 3-6Australian Open · hard
vs Darderi L.#23L6-3 3-6 2-6Rome Masters · clayW6-4 6-3Bastad · clay
vs Hurkacz H.#30L6-4 6-7 5-7 2-6Wimbledon · grassL3-6 2-6Halle · grass
vs Tabilo A.#31L1-6 2-6Tokyo · hardW6-4 4-6 6-4Bastad · clay
vs Bergs Z.#41W6-1 6-2Indian Wells Masters · hardL4-6 1-6Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs Mannarino A.#79W6-2 2-6 6-4Miami Masters · hardL4-6 6-3 3-6Almaty · hard
vs Hijikata R.#86W4-6 6-3 7-5 6-4Roland Garros · clayW6-3 6-3Hangzhou · hard
Head-to-head
6 meetings · Rublev A. leads 5–115
Hard: Rublev A. leads 3–1 · Clay: Rublev A. leads 2–0
- Rublev A.October 2023Shanghai MastersHard7-5 7-5
- Rublev A.October 2022GijonHard7-5 6-3
- Paul T.October 2021Indian Wells MastersHard6-4 3-6 7-5
- Rublev A.May 2021Madrid MastersClay6-7 6-3 6-4
- Rublev A.September 2020HamburgClay6-1 3-6 6-2
Evidence
Paul T.Rublev A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate68% (44–21) (ahead)60% (33–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2132 (ahead)2003
Hard-court ELO1966 (ahead)1839
Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won74%75% (ahead)
Return points won38% (ahead)37%
Aces / match6.87.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 63 vs 54 matches
Break points saved65%66% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev — Vienna Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/paul-vs-rublev-vienna-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).