Andrey Rublev vs Tommy Paul — Shanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Andrey Rublev
RUS5
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
Tommy Paul
USA12
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Rublev A.
7-5 7-5
Paul T.
Rublev A.
772
Paul T.
550

Andrey Rublev defeated Tommy Paul 7-5 7-5 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-10GijonQFhardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-4 3-6 7-5
2021-05-03Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2020-09-21HamburgR16clayAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-2
2018-07-30WashingtonR32hardAndrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Paul T.
55
Serve
71
52
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rublev A.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rublev A.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Even
89
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
72
87
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rublev A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Paul T.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1849
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1949
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.6
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rublev A.Paul T.
Freshness·Slight edge
93
84

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%
Final
Hurkacz H.[16]
Rublev A.[5]
6-33-67-68
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Dimitrov G.[18]
7-676-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Korda S.[26]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Korda S.[26]
Shelton B.[19]
6-7106-27-66
Dimitrov G.[18]
Jarry N.[22]
7-626-4
Rublev A.[5]
Humbert U.[32]
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Marozsan F.
4-66-16-3
R16
Humbert U.[32]
Wolf J.
6-16-2
Hurkacz H.[16]
Zhang Z.
7-664-67-64
Korda S.[26]
Cerundolo F.[20]
7-57-66
Shelton B.[19]
Sinner J.[6]
2-66-37-65
Dimitrov G.[18]
Alcaraz C.[1]
5-76-26-4
Jarry N.[22]
Schwartzman D.
6-35-76-3
Rublev A.[5]
Paul T.[12]
7-57-5
Marozsan F.
Ruud C.[8]
7-633-66-4
R32
Dimitrov G.[18]
Khachanov K.[13]
7-666-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Evans D.[30]
7-616-4
Jarry N.[22]
Sonego L.
7-646-2
Schwartzman D.
Fritz T.[7]
6-43-67-65
Humbert U.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
6-43-67-5
Wolf J.
Arnaldi M.
2-66-37-64
Paul T.[12]
Fils A.
6-46-776-4
Rublev A.[5]
Mannarino A.[31]
6-36-0
Ruud C.[8]
Eubanks C.[29]
6-46-2
Marozsan F.
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Hsu Y.
6-46-4
Zhang Z.
Nakashima B.
7-626-2
Sinner J.[6]
Baez S.[25]
3-66-36-2
Shelton B.[19]
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[20]
Fucsovics M.
3-66-47-5
Korda S.[26]
Medvedev D.[2]
7-686-2
R64
Evans D.[30]
Kukushkin M.
6-23-0
Khachanov K.[13]
Zhukayev B.
7-614-66-2
Mannarino A.[31]
Tseng C.
6-26-2
Lajovic D.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-43-2
Zhang Z.
Etcheverry T.[28]
4-66-36-4
Nakashima B.
Rune H.[3]
6-06-2
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mcdonald M.
7-647-65
Korda S.[26]
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-4
Humbert U.[32]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-41-66-2
Dimitrov G.[18]
Vukic A.
6-46-3
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.[10]
2-66-26-3
Jarry N.[22]
Atmane T.
7-56-2
Schwartzman D.
Lehecka J.[27]
6-43-66-2
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
7-626-766-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.
Struff J.[21]
6-33-66-4
Wolf J.
Norrie C.[15]
6-35-77-64
Paul T.[12]
Ofner S.
6-36-0
Rublev A.[5]
Halys Q.
6-47-5
Ruud C.[8]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-0
Eubanks C.[29]
Hanfmann Y.
4-66-36-2
Marozsan F.
De Minaur A.[11]
6-37-5
Hsu Y.
Musetti L.[17]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[6]
Giron M.
7-676-2
Baez S.[25]
Sweeny D.
6-26-4
Shelton B.[19]
Munar J.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Zverev A.[9]
6-36-1
Fucsovics M.
Auger Aliassime F.[14]
7-634-66-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Garin C.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Kokkinakis T.
7-656-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Barrere G.
6-27-5
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[24]
6-27-5
R128
Ofner S.
Varillas J.
7-637-66
Yunchaokete B.
Kecmanovic M.
6-766-22-1
Fucsovics M.
Yevseyev D.
6-46-2
Hijikata R.
Djere L.
7-647-5
Atmane T.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-1
Barrere G.
Borges N.
6-26-2
Kukushkin M.
Muller A.
6-766-36-2
Vukic A.
Carballes Baena R.
6-47-67
Zhukayev B.
Napolitano S.
7-57-5
Schwartzman D.
Van Assche L.
5-76-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Shang J.
7-674-66-4
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.
4-66-36-4
Wolf J.
Cachin P.
3-66-36-4
Fils A.
Kotov P.
6-16-4
Halys Q.
Karatsev A.
7-643-66-2
Nishioka Y.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-62
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
6-46-7106-3
Lajovic D.
Wawrinka S.
6-47-67
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.
7-666-2
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-26-4
Hsu Y.
Purcell M.
7-654-66-4
Zhang Z.
Gasquet R.
6-16-2
Nakashima B.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-17-63
Sweeny D.
Daniel T.
6-26-3
Safiullin R.
Murray A.
6-36-2
Garin C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-610
Sonego L.
Sekulic P.
6-36-2
Mcdonald M.
Moutet C.
6-26-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Oconnell C.
6-26-726-4
Munar J.
Te R.
6-26-4
Tseng C.
Shevchenko A.
3-66-36-2
Giron M.
Galan D.
6-46-2