Andrey Rublev vs Tommy PaulGijon Quarter-final

Gijon · ATP · Quarter-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Rublev A.
7-5 6-3
Paul T.
Rublev A.
762
Paul T.
530

Andrey Rublev defeated Tommy Paul 7-5 6-3 in the Gijon quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 7-5
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-4 3-6 7-5
2021-05-03Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2020-09-21HamburgR16clayAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-2
2018-07-30WashingtonR32hardAndrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Paul T.
55
Serve
71
52
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
72
87
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1849
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1949
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
84

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast