Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul — London Final

London · ATP · Final
Francisco Cerundolo
ARG7
Francisco Cerundolo
#23ATP
1931ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 21 June 2026 ·
grass
Tommy Paul
USA8
Tommy Paul
#21ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
Cerundolo F.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Paul T.
Cerundolo F.
6662
Paul T.
7431

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Tommy Paul 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the London final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #21, but Francisco Cerundolo had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Around the match

  • “Super happy because I remained competitively present and left everything on the court.”

    Cerundolo F.Karlobag.eu ↗

  • “This is the biggest moment of my tennis career by far. Coming from Argentina, winning my first ATP 500 tournament at Queen's - such a historic event.”

    Cerundolo F.BBC ↗

  • “I want to congratulate Francisco and your team. We always seem to have unreal matches and today you were the better player so I am happy for you.”

    Paul T.BBC ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-2 7-6
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-7 6-4 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul7-6 6-7 6-3
2023-06-26EastbourneFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 1-6 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR32grassFrancisco Cerundolo7-6 4-6 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassTommy Paul4-6 7-6 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Cerundolo F.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
6.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cerundolo F.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Even
86
90
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Even
91
89
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
98
Tiebreaks·Even
88
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cerundolo F.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Paul T.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Grass Elo 1526
Surface ELO
6.9+152 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1988
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
5.34 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
6.4Won 73% in United Kingdom (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cerundolo F.Paul T.
Freshness·Clear edge
80
94

Cerundolo F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Paul T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw