Tommy Paul vs Francisco CerundoloEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32
#24ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 June 2022
grass
#22ATP
1931ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Paul T.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Cerundolo F.
Paul T.
47762
Cerundolo F.
66241

Tommy Paul defeated Francisco Cerundolo 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 6–1. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-21LondonFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6.4-7.7 6-4 6-3
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-2 7-6(4)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-7(7) 6-4 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul7-6(2) 6-7(2) 6-3
2023-06-26EastbourneFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 1-6 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR32grassFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(2) 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
87
86
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+17 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Grass Elo 1784
5.3Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast