Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy PaulMadrid Masters Round of 32

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Cerundolo F.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Paul T.
Cerundolo F.
67662
Paul T.
79421

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Tommy Paul 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Madrid Masters round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 64. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-21LondonFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6.4-7.7 6-4 6-3
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-2 7-6(4)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul7-6(2) 6-7(2) 6-3
2023-06-26EastbourneFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 1-6 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR32grassFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(2) 4-6 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassTommy Paul4-6 7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.Paul T.
23
Serve
34
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
86
87
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1868
Surface ELO
5.0+17 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
86

Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%