Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy PaulMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#22ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Cerundolo F.
6-2 7-6
Paul T.
Cerundolo F.
6772
Paul T.
2640

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 32. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-21LondonFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6.4-7.7 6-4 6-3
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-7(7) 6-4 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul7-6(2) 6-7(2) 6-3
2023-06-26EastbourneFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 1-6 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR32grassFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(2) 4-6 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassTommy Paul4-6 7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cerundolo F.Paul T.
13
Serve
71
67
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
86
87
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1880
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1949
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.3
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
7.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
91

Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%