Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy PaulEastbourne Final

Eastbourne · ATP · Final
#22ATP
1931ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 June 2023
grass
#24ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Cerundolo F.
6-4 1-6 6-4
Paul T.
Cerundolo F.
6162
Paul T.
4641

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 1-6 6-4 in the Eastbourne final on grass. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 32. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-21LondonFgrassFrancisco Cerundolo6.4-7.7 6-4 6-3
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-2 7-6(4)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-7(7) 6-4 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul7-6(2) 6-7(2) 6-3
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR32grassFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(2) 4-6 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassTommy Paul4-6 7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
86
87
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1784
Surface ELO
6.1+17 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1949
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.2
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
5.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
88

Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast