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Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs — Basel Round of 64

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Hurkacz H.
62%38%

Hurkacz H. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hurkacz H.6.9/10
Slight advantage
Bergs Z.6.2/10
Even match
Why
Surface+30 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Bergs Z.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1808Against the prediction · Bergs Z.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Hurkacz H.
Travel7h west, 12d agoInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Bergs Z.
ELO2 073
Hard ELO1 917
Last 107–3
Age29
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $20.6M2026 $1.8M
ELO1 985
Hard ELO1 810
Last 106–4
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.5M

Hubert Hurkacz faces Zizou Bergs in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Hubert Hurkacz holds the paper edge — ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Common opponents

12 shared · last 12 months

Hurkacz H. and Bergs Z. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Hurkacz H. went 8–5 (62%) against them, Bergs Z. 7–8 (47%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 2 better-results split).

8–562%Hurkacz H. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents7–847%Bergs Z. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
25–16Sets18–18
223–191Games177–172
5–3Tiebreaks1–5
1–3Deciding sets1–1
Show 9 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Hurkacz H. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Hurkacz H.Bergs Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate63% (36–21) (ahead)55% (30–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2073 (ahead)1985
Hard-court ELO1917 (ahead)1810
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won79% (ahead)75%
Return points won35%37% (ahead)
Aces / match14.1 (ahead)7.6
ClutchLast 56 vs 53 matches
Break points saved71% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast12°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity60%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hurkacz H.Bergs Z.
12 — fresherDays since last match2
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
0 — fresherGames · 7 days62
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
55 — fresherGames · 14 days110
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/bergs-vs-hurkacz-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).