Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel AltmaierHalle Round of 16

Halle · ATP · Round of 16
#96ATP
1809ELO
1722Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
grass
SCHAUINSLAND-REISEN COURT · 3rd on
#85ATP
1707ELO
1546Grass ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWLWLW
Hurkacz H.
vs
Altmaier D.

Hubert Hurkacz faces Daniel Altmaier in the Halle round of 16 on grass. They have met once, Hubert Hurkacz leading 1–0, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Hurkacz H.81%
Altmaier D.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hurkacz H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+175 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1546
6.3Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1707
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
4.1Won 35% in DEU (26)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.3
5.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Altmaier D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Slight edge
40
34
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
77

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Altmaier D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on SCHAUINSLAND-REISEN COURT · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 2Tiafoe F. v Shimabukuro S.
  2. 3Hurkacz H. v Altmaier D.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayHubert Hurkacz6-4 7-6(2)