Damir Dzumhur vs Zizou Bergs | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

European Open - BrusselsR16HardThu 22 Oct · 17:00CENTRE COURT · After 1 match

Damir DzumhurATP #83 · BIH23%

VSClear favourite · Bergs Z.

Zizou Bergs(6)ATP #41 · BEL77%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bergs Z.

23%77%

Clear edge for Bergs Z. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Dzumhur D.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Bergs Z.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+161 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bergs Z.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1808Supports Bergs Z.

Recent run6-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Dzumhur D.

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardInformative

Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Bergs Z.

ELO1 816

Hard ELO1 665

Last 107–3

Age34

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.2M2026 $914K

ELO1 990

Hard ELO1 814

Last 106–4

Age27

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.5M

Damir Dzumhur faces Zizou Bergs in the European Open - Brussels round of 16 on hard. Zizou Bergs is the paper favourite — ranked #41, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Damir Dzumhur has won both their previous meetings. Damir Dzumhur brings the better recent hard form (7 of 8).

Key context

Freshness: Damir Dzumhur comes in with 3 days of rest and 158 games in 14d, vs Zizou Bergs's 1 and 101.
Serve & return: Zizou Bergs leads on Serve Rating (30), Damir Dzumhur on Return Rating (61).
Head-to-head: Damir Dzumhur leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Marseille 2022.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Dzumhur D. and Bergs Z. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Dzumhur D. went 1–6 (14%) against them, Bergs Z. 3–4 (43%). Bergs Z. came out better against 2 of 7 comparable opponents, Dzumhur D. against 0.

1–614%Dzumhur D. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–443%Bergs Z. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

5–15Sets10–11

76–111Games106–98

1–2Tiebreaks2–3

1–1Deciding sets0–1

vs Sinner J.#1L3-6 3-6Miami Masters · hardL4-6 2-6Paris Masters · hard
vs Hurkacz H.#30L4-6 6-4 1-6 1-6US Open · hardL7-6 6-7 3-6 3-6Australian Open · hard
vs Buse I.#33W6-7 7-6 6-1Miami Masters · hardW6-0 6-3Shanghai Masters · hard

Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Fery A.#34L6-3 2-6 2-6 1-6Wimbledon · grassL6-2 5-7 6-2 6-7 6-7Wimbledon · grass
vs Merida Aguilar D.#42L2-6 7-5 2-6Umag · clayL3-6 2-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Faria J.#56L6-7 4-6Rio de Janeiro · clayW7-6 4-6 6-2 6-3Wimbledon · grass
vs Kopriva V.#66L3-6 4-6Mallorca · grassW6-3 6-1Shanghai Masters · hard

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Dzumhur D. leads 2–0

Dzumhur D.February 2022MarseilleHard6-3 6-2
Dzumhur D.January 2022MontpellierHard7-5 6-2

Evidence

Dzumhur D.Bergs Z.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–36–4

Season win rate45% (24–29)55% (29–24)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18161990

Hard-court ELO16651814

Serve vs returnLast 51 matches each

1st-serve points won62%75%

Return points won40%38%

Aces / match1.47.5

ClutchLast 51 matches each

Break points saved55%61%

When it starts

CENTRE COURT · After 1 match · Not before 17:00

1Collignon R. v Lehecka J.Starts at 13:30
2This match: Dzumhur D. v Bergs Z.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRE COURT · 17:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast13°C · Clear

Wind16 km/h

Humidity84%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Dzumhur D.Bergs Z.

3Days since last match1

4Matches · 7 days2

81Games · 7 days45

7Matches · 14 days5

158Games · 14 days101

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Damir Dzumhur vs Zizou Bergs — European Open - Brussels Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/bergs-vs-dzumhur-european-open-brussels-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).