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Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka — European Open - Brussels Round of 16

European Open - BrusselsR16HardThu 22 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Lehecka J.
23%77%

Clear edge for Lehecka J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Collignon R.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Lehecka J.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+45 Hard Elo edgeSupports Lehecka J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1922Supports Lehecka J.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Lehecka J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Collignon R.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 903
Hard ELO1 704
Last 104–6
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $885K
ELO2 092
Hard ELO1 922
Last 107–3
Age24
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $2.1M

Raphael Collignon faces Jiri Lehecka in the European Open - Brussels round of 16 on hard. Jiri Lehecka holds the paper edge — ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Collignon R. and Lehecka J. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Collignon R. went 3–7 (30%) against them, Lehecka J. 6–7 (46%). Lehecka J. came out better against 4 of 9 comparable opponents, Collignon R. against 2 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

3–730%Collignon R. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents6–746%Lehecka J. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–15Sets17–14
123–135Games152–145
2–3Tiebreaks1–3
1–2Deciding sets1–1
Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Lehecka J. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Collignon R.Lehecka J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate67% (36–18) (ahead)65% (36–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19032092 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17041922 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won76%76%
Return points won37% (ahead)35%
Aces / match6.98.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 49 vs 50 matches
Break points saved63%68% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Overcast
Wind26 km/h
Humidity83%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka — European Open - Brussels Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/collignon-vs-lehecka-european-open-brussels-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).