Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon

UMPIRY

European Open - BrusselsR32HardTue 20 Oct · 10:00

Nishesh BasavareddyATP #139 · USA65%

VSSlight edge · Basavareddy N.

Raphael CollignonATP #50 · BEL35%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Basavareddy N.

65%35%

Basavareddy N. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Basavareddy N.6.3/10

Marginal edge

Collignon R.5.6/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+156 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Collignon R.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1894Against the prediction · Collignon R.

Recent run2-match win streakSupports Basavareddy N.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Basavareddy N.

Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Supports Basavareddy N.

ELO1 884

Hard ELO1 785

Last 108–2

Age21

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.5M2026 $367K

ELO1 903

Hard ELO1 704

Last 104–6

Age24

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $885K

Nishesh Basavareddy faces Raphael Collignon in the European Open - Brussels round of 32 on hard. Raphael Collignon is the paper favourite — ranked #50, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Nishesh Basavareddy has won their only previous meeting. Nishesh Basavareddy brings the better recent hard form (3 of 4).

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Nishesh Basavareddy rising, Raphael Collignon cooling.
Serve & return: Raphael Collignon leads on Serve Rating (40), Nishesh Basavareddy on Return Rating (40).
Last match: Nishesh Basavareddy edged Aziz Dougaz in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Basavareddy N. and Collignon R. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Basavareddy N. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Collignon R. 1–0 (100%).

1–0100%Basavareddy N. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Collignon R. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–0Sets2–0

13–9Games12–6

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Dougaz A.#430W6-4 7-5European Open - Brussels · hardW6-4 6-2Halle · grass

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Basavareddy N. leads 1–0

Basavareddy N.August 2025Winston-SalemHard6-2 7-6

Evidence

Basavareddy N.Collignon R.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–24–6

Season win rate70% (33–14)66% (35–18)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18841903

Hard-court ELO17851704

Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 49 matches

1st-serve points won72%76%

Return points won41%37%

Aces / match4.96.9

ClutchLast 42 vs 49 matches

Break points saved68%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast9°C · Overcast

Wind16 km/h

Humidity81%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon — European Open - Brussels Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/basavareddy-vs-collignon-european-open-brussels-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).