Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz — Halle Qualifying Semi-final

Halle · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Raphael Collignon
BEL
Raphael Collignon
#51ATP
1894ELO
1644Grass ELO
$334kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWWW
—
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
Aziz Dougaz
TUN
Aziz Dougaz
#657ATP
1390ELO
1366Grass ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLWL

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC
Collignon R.93%
Dougaz A.7%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Collignon R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Collignon R.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Dougaz A.
2.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
8.5+279 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Grass Elo 1366
10.0Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1390
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.82 of last 5 on grass
Surface form
0.00 of last 6 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CShowers
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Collignon R.Dougaz A.
66%1st serve in+4%62%
77%1st serve points won+5%72%
50%2nd serve points won50%
67%Service points won+4%63%
41%Return points won+3%38%
60%Break points saved60%
5.3Aces / match+1.56.8
3.4Double faults / match+0.94.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.