Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista AgutHalle Qualifying Final

Halle · ATP · Qualifying Final
#51ATP
1894ELO
1644Grass ELO
$334kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWWW
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
#116ATP
1728ELO
1698Grass ELO
$318kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWLWLL

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Collignon R.68%
Bautista Agut R.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Collignon R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1644
Surface ELO
5.7+54 Grass Elo edge
7.1Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1728
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.13 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.8Won 63% in DEU (43)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°CShowers
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
66%1st serve in+2%68%
77%1st serve points won+11%66%
50%2nd serve points won50%
67%Service points won+6%61%
41%Return points won+5%36%
60%Break points saved+5%55%
5.3Aces / match+2.62.7
3.4Double faults / match+1.91.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.