Alexei Popyrin vs Raphael Collignon — Halle Round of 32
Popyrin A.
Alexei Popyrin faces Raphael Collignon in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Raphael Collignon holds the paper edge — ranked #51.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Collignon R. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexei Popyrin 0 games in 14 days, Raphael Collignon 18.
- Form trend: Alexei Popyrin's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Raphael Collignon's has cooled.
- Last match: Raphael Collignon dropped just 6 games past Roberto Bautista Agut.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPopyrin A.: 19 days rest · Collignon R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.