Hubert Hurkacz vs Stan Wawrinka — United Cup Final

United Cup · ATP · Final
Hubert Hurkacz
POL9
Hubert Hurkacz
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Stan Wawrinka
SUI16
Stan Wawrinka
#117ATP
1678ELO
1664Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
Hurkacz H.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Wawrinka S.
Hurkacz H.
6362
Wawrinka S.
3631

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the United Cup final on hard. The result followed the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #68, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Hubert Hurkacz closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02United CupRRhardHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving94% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Wawrinka S.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Wawrinka S.
67
Serve
48
0
Return
8

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Hurkacz H.Wawrinka S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.0
7.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hurkacz H.Wawrinka S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
40
30
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hurkacz H.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 210 days (−1.5)
Wawrinka S.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.9+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1664
6.7Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1678
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Country comfort
6.3
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hurkacz H.Wawrinka S.
Freshness·Clear edge
81
95

Hurkacz H.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Wawrinka S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw

Final
Hurkacz H.[9]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[9]
Fritz T.[1]
7-617-62
Bergs Z.[7]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-36-746-3
Quarter-finals
Bergs Z.[7]
Mensik J.[11]
6-27-64
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Fritz T.[1]
6-47-5
Baez S.[14]
Wawrinka S.[16]
7-56-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Hurkacz H.[9]
6-44-66-4
Round Robin
De Minaur A.[4]
Mensik J.[11]
6-46-1
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Zhang Z.[18]
6-46-4
Baez S.[14]
Fritz T.[1]
4-67-56-4
Fritz T.[1]
Munar J.[10]
7-643-67-66
Zhang Z.[18]
Bergs Z.[7]
6-727-637-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Harris B.[5]
4-66-17-64
Harris B.[5]
Mochizuki S.[13]
7-646-3
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Mochizuki S.[13]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.[8]
Cobolli F.[3]
6-747-657-5
Baez S.[14]
Munar J.[10]
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Griekspoor T.[15]
6-37-64
Cobolli F.[3]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-46-727-64
Wawrinka S.[16]
Rinderknech A.[8]
5-77-657-65
Mensik J.[11]
Ruud C.[17]
7-57-66
Ruud C.[17]
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[15]
7-56-0
Bergs Z.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
6-46-2