Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula — Wuhan Round of 32
What we know
Surface+264 Hard Elo edgeFavours Pegula J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2096Favours Pegula J.
Head-to-headLeads 3–2 on hardFavours Pegula J.
This eventReached the final here last yearFavours Pegula J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 905
Hard ELO1 738
Last 104–6
Age29
Height177 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $20.8M2026 $2.1M
ELO2 212
Hard ELO2 094
Last 108–2
Age32
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $27.6M2026 $5.7M
Jelena Ostapenko faces Jessica Pegula in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. Jessica Pegula holds the paper edge — ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's final.
Key context
- Under pressure: Jessica Pegula has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 93 vs Jelena Ostapenko's 69).
- Last match: Jelena Ostapenko dropped just 2 games past Daria Kasatkina.
- Head-to-head: Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head 3–2. Last met at Indian Wells 2026.
Common opponents
15 shared · last 12 monthsOstapenko J. and Pegula J. faced 15 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ostapenko J. went 12–7 (63%) against them, Pegula J. 17–3 (85%). Pegula J. came out better against 6 of 15 comparable opponents, Ostapenko J. against 1.
12–763%Ostapenko J. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents17–385%Pegula J. · better vs 6
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
27–18Sets36–13
230–198Games259–175
1–3Tiebreaks2–1
4–3Deciding sets7–2
vs Sabalenka A.#2L4-6 4-6Wimbledon · grassW6-4 6-7 6-0Berlin · grass
vs Cirstea S.#16L1-6 6-7Rome · clayW6-2 4-6 7-5Cincinnati · hard
vs Eala A.#19W6-4 7-5Linz · hardL6-4 4-6 0-6Washington · hard
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vs Kalinskaya A.#21L6-2 1-6 4-6Dubai · hardW6-2 2-6 6-4Brisbane · hard- vs Potapova A.#26L6-4 4-6 4-6Madrid · clayW7-6(6) 6-2Rome · clay
vs Paolini J.#33W5-7 6-2 7-5Miami · hardW6-2 6-3WTA Finals · hard
vs Frech M.#56L1-6 3-6Cincinnati · hardW3-6 6-3 6-2Toronto · hard- vs Ruse G.#57W2-6 6-2 6-3Rome · clayW6-3 6-2US Open · hard
vs Sonmez Z.#59W6-3 6-0Eastbourne · grassW6-4 6-0Rome · clay- vs Cocciaretto E.#65W7-5 6-4Doha · hardW1-6 6-1 7-6Charleston · clay
- vs Selekhmeteva O.#100W5-7 7-6 6-2Abu Dhabi · hardW6-3 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Yastremska D.#103W6-4 6-4Miami · hardW5-7 6-2 6-3Brisbane · hard
vs Jones F.#104W6-2 6-2Eastbourne · grassW6-1 3-0Miami · hard
vs Waltert S.#110W6-2 7-5Madrid · clayW6-3 6-2Cincinnati · hard- vs Zakharova A.#111W6-7 6-3 6-4Doha · hardW6-2 6-1Australian Open · hard
Head-to-head
5 meetings · Pegula J. leads 3–223
- Pegula J.March 2026Indian WellsHard4-6 6-3 6-2
- Ostapenko J.October 2023BeijingHard6-4 6-2
- Pegula J.February 2023DohaHard6-2 2-6 7-5
- Pegula J.March 2021DohaHard6-2 7-5
- Ostapenko J.September 2015Quebec CityHard3-6 6-2 7-6
Evidence
Ostapenko J.Pegula J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (24–20)79% (50–13) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19052212 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17382094 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won67%70% (ahead)
Return points won44%46% (ahead)
Aces / match3.74.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 55 matches
Break points saved54%57% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula — Wuhan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/ostapenko-vs-pegula-wuhan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).