Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra EalaLinz Round of 16

Linz · WTA · Round of 16
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
hard
#32WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Ostapenko J.
6-4 7-5
Eala A.
Ostapenko J.
672
Eala A.
450

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Alexandra Eala 6-4 7-5 in the Linz round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandra Eala came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Jelena Ostapenko claimed a first win over Alexandra Eala in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-23EastbourneR16grassAlexandra Eala0-6 6-2 3-2 RET
2025-03-18MiamiR64hardAlexandra Eala7-6(2) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Eala A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Eala A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Eala A.
10
Serve
20
45
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
51%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
77
Break points saved·Even
79
75
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1794
Surface ELO
5.3+38 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1895
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
81

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Eala A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 42%