

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-2 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-02-13 | Doha | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 7-5 |
| 2021-03-01 | Doha | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2015-09-14 | Quebec City | R16 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 3-6 6-2 7-6(3) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About