Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena OstapenkoDubai Round of 64

Dubai · WTA · Round of 64
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Kalinskaya A.
2-6 6-1 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Kalinskaya A.
2662
Ostapenko J.
6141

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Jelena Ostapenko 2-6 6-1 6-4 in the Dubai round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Anna Kalinskaya came in ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Anna Kalinskaya extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11RomeR16clayJelena Ostapenko1-6 2-6
2024-03-18MiamiR32hardAnna Kalinskaya6-3 6-1
2024-02-19DubaiR16hardAnna Kalinskaya6-4 7-5
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R32hardAnna Kalinskaya6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinskaya A.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalinskaya A.Ostapenko J.
36
Serve
10
39
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
47%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
79
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+68 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1794
5.8Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1855
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.5
Surface form
6.5
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
2.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
92

Kalinskaya A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw