Jelena Ostapenko vs Zeynep SonmezEastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Quarter-final
#29WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#52WTA
1800ELO
1693Grass ELO
$806kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Ostapenko J.
6-3 6-0
Sonmez Z.
Ostapenko J.
662
Sonmez Z.
300

Jelena Ostapenko advanced to the Eastbourne quarterfinals with a 6-3, 6-0 win over Zeynep Sonmez. Ostapenko hit 9 aces to Sonmez's 2 and converted 42% of her break points, compared to Sonmez's 33%. Ostapenko won 71% of her first-serve points and secured 5 service breaks to Sonmez's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
24
14
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
84
Tiebreaks·
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Ostapenko J.60%
Sonmez Z.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ostapenko J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1554
5.6Overall Elo 1730
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1680
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.3Won 72% in United Kingdom (29)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
74

Ostapenko J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 10 games (7d) · Sonmez Z.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw