Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro — US Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
Anna Kalinskaya
RUS21
Anna Kalinskaya
#23WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Emma Navarro
USA26
Emma Navarro
#27WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Kalinskaya A.
4-6 2-6
Navarro E.
Kalinskaya A.
420
Navarro E.
662

Emma Navarro defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the Round of 16 at the US Open, advancing with a 6-4, 6-2 victory on hard courts. Navarro hit 3 aces and no double faults, while Kalinskaya had 1 ace and 4 double faults. Navarro converted 50% of her break points and won 1 service break to Kalinskaya's 0.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • “She's a great player and has had a great year this year. I enjoyed it. I had fun playing today. I'm looking forward to playing again in a few days.”

    Navarro E.wtatennis.com ↗

  • “I'm feeling good mentally, like feeling resilient, feeling calm, feeling strong. So I think that's a huge part of the game, and yeah, certainly can't be overlooked.”

    Navarro E.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR32hardAnna Kalinskaya7-5 2-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
Kalinskaya A.Navarro E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kalinskaya A.Navarro E.
Clutch Rating·Even
75
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
36
48
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Even
93
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Kalinskaya A.54%
Navarro E.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalinskaya A.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Navarro E.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1764
5.5Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1866
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kalinskaya A.Navarro E.
Freshness·Clear edge
69
53

Kalinskaya A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Navarro E.: played today · 4 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw