Janice Tjen vs Anna KalinskayaWashington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
#37WTA
1658ELO
1684Hard ELO
$818kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLLWLL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLLW
Tjen J.
vs
Kalinskaya A.

Janice Tjen faces Anna Kalinskaya in the Washington round of 16 on hard. Anna Kalinskaya holds the paper edge — ranked #20, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Tjen J.37%
Kalinskaya A.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kalinskaya A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
12 common opponents · Tjen J. 2–11 · Kalinskaya A. 8–8
Both lost · same surface, 20 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1684
Surface ELO
7.2+178 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1658
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1907
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
6.5Won 75% in Usa (24)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tjen J.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tjen J.

Serve advantage — Kalinskaya A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
72
Break points saved·Dominant
84
34
Break points won·Slight edge
85
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
89
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Tjen J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw