Emma Navarro vs Elena Gabriela RuseBad Homburg Quarter-final

Bad Homburg · WTA · Quarter-final
#27WTA
1866ELO
1774Grass ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#72WTA
1850ELO
1765Grass ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
Navarro E.
4-6 2-6
Gabriela Ruse E.
Navarro E.
420
Gabriela Ruse E.
662

Elena Gabriela Ruse defeated Emma Navarro 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Bad Homburg tournament on grass. Ruse hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, winning 82% of her first serves and converting 60% of her break points. She won 3 service breaks to Navarro's 0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiR64hardEmma Navarro6-4 7-5
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardEmma Navarro6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.3
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
16
6
Break points won·Clear edge
95
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
41
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
59
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Navarro E.57%
Gabriela Ruse E.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1553
5.5Overall Elo 1756
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1719
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Navarro E.: 21 days rest · Gabriela Ruse E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw