Victoria Mboko vs Anna KalinskayaIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#10WTA
2006ELO
2006Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Mboko V.
6-4 6-1
Kalinskaya A.
Mboko V.
662
Kalinskaya A.
410

Victoria Mboko defeated Anna Kalinskaya 6-4 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Victoria Mboko came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Victoria Mboko extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR16hardVictoria Mboko6-2 3-6 7-6(6)
2025-10-27Hong KongQFhardVictoria Mboko6-1 3-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Mboko V.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Serve advantage — Mboko V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mboko V.Kalinskaya A.
58
Serve
36
53
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
97
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
88
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
89
Tiebreaks·
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+144 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1863
6.9Overall Elo 2006
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1907
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.4
Surface form
6.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Kalinskaya A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw