Anna Kalinskaya vs Elena Gabriela RuseBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#20WTA
1907ELO
1724Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#75WTA
1850ELO
1765Grass ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWL
Kalinskaya A.
5-7 2-6
Gabriela Ruse E.
Kalinskaya A.
520
Gabriela Ruse E.
762

Elena Gabriela Ruse defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the Round of 16 at the Bad Homburg grass tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-2 in favor of Ruse. Neither player converted any service breaks during the match.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR32hardAnna Kalinskaya6-0 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
73
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
34
15
Break points won·Slight edge
95
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Kalinskaya A.69%
Gabriela Ruse E.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kalinskaya A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1538
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Grass Elo edge
6.0Overall Elo 1794
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1715
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
62
85

Kalinskaya A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Gabriela Ruse E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw