Emma Navarro vs Caty McnallyUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#27WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 2nd on
#65WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWL
Navarro E.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Mcnally C.
Navarro E.
3662
Mcnally C.
6231

Emma Navarro defeated Caty Mcnally in the Round of 64 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 in Navarro's favor. Navarro hit 5 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points and securing 5 service breaks, compared to Mcnally's 1 ace, 4 double faults, 23% break point conversion, and 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassCaty Mcnally6-4 0-6 4-6
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardEmma Navarro6-2 6-1
2023-03-06Indian WellsR128hardEmma Navarro1-6 6-1 6-1
2020-10-21W80 MaconR32hardCaty Mcnally6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
59%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
73
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
48
31
Break points won·Even
97
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
24
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
68
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Navarro E.57%
Mcnally C.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1731
5.6Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1817
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
89

Navarro E.: played today · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw