Lulu Sun vs Caty McnallyGuangzhou Quarter-final

Guangzhou · WTA · Quarter-final
#112WTA
1637ELO
1654Hard ELO
25 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#57WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Sun L.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Mcnally C.
Sun L.
3662
Mcnally C.
6341

Lulu Sun defeated Caty Mcnally 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Guangzhou quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #57, but Lulu Sun had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sun L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sun L.

Serve advantage — Mcnally C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sun L.Mcnally C.
59
Serve
26
0
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
72
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
73
Break points won·Dominant
52
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
74
Tiebreaks·Even
78
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1654
Surface ELO
5.5+77 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1637
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
4.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Sun L.: 19 days rest · Mcnally C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast