Emma Navarro vs Caty McnallyIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Navarro E.
1-6 6-1 6-1
Mcnally C.
Navarro E.
1662
Mcnally C.
6111

Emma Navarro defeated Caty Mcnally 1-6 6-1 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Emma Navarro came in ranked #26, defending last year's round of 128. Emma Navarro extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassCaty Mcnally6-4 0-6 4-6
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardEmma Navarro6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navarro E.Mcnally C.
43
Serve
26
43
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (189 vs 111). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
90
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
88
73
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+33 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1731
4.8Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1817
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
2.5
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
95

Navarro E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw