Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro — Nottingham Round of 16
USA
Starodubtseva Y.
Yuliia Starodubtseva faces Emma Navarro in the Nottingham round of 16 on grass. Emma Navarro holds the paper edge — ranked #25, a roughly 150-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Yuliia Starodubtseva comes in with 17 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Emma Navarro's 5 and 26.
- Last match: Yuliia Starodubtseva dropped the opening set before beating Maya Joint 6–7 7–5 6–4.
- Last match: Emma Navarro dropped the opening set before beating Anna Bondar 6–7 6–3 6–2.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadStarodubtseva Y.: 17 days rest · Navarro E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.