Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinos Hertogenbosch Round of 32

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 32
#88ATP
1716ELO
1639Grass ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
#40ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Diallo G.
4-6 6-3 5-7
Mannarino A.
Diallo G.
4651
Mannarino A.
6372

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Adrian Mannarino got past Gabriel Diallo 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 6: A 13-point game with four deuces went Gabriel Diallo's way.
  • Set 3, game 4: A 13-point game with four deuces went Adrian Mannarino's way.
  • Pressure points: Gabriel Diallo converted 4 of 9 break points; Adrian Mannarino converted 5 of 13 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Diallo G.
Mannarino A.
Break points won
4/9
5/13
Break points saved
8/13
5/9

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Diallo G.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
33%
34%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
64
65
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
24
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC
Diallo G.64%
Mannarino A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Diallo G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.3+20 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1650
6.0Overall Elo 1731
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1653
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.9Won 65% in NED (31)
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
69

Diallo G.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 69%