Kamil Majchrzak vs Daniil Medvedev — s Hertogenbosch Semi-final

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Semi-final
Kamil Majchrzak
POL
Kamil Majchrzak
#76ATP
1751ELO
1661Grass ELO
$354kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLLL
—
Sets
Saturday, 13 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 5th on
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
Daniil Medvedev
#8ATP
2008ELO
1883Grass ELO
$2.3MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWLWW

Kamil Majchrzak faces Daniil Medvedev in the s Hertogenbosch semi-final on grass. Daniil Medvedev is the paper favourite — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final — but Kamil Majchrzak rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Head-to-head: Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Brisbane 2026.
  • Stage: Daniil Medvedev defends last year's quarter-final.
  • Win streak: Kamil Majchrzak arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Majchrzak K.18%
Medvedev D.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Medvedev D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Majchrzak K.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Medvedev D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.2Grass Elo 1661
Surface ELO
7.8+222 Grass Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1751
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2008
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

5th on CENTRE COURT · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 2Medvedev D. v Cilic M.
    6-23-66-1
  2. 4Mannarino A. v De Minaur A.Live
    4-60-5
  3. 5Majchrzak K. v Medvedev D.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-7(4) 6-3 6-2

Statistics

Recent form
Majchrzak K.Medvedev D.
64%1st serve in+3%67%
73%1st serve points won+2%75%
48%2nd serve points won+2%50%
64%Service points won+3%67%
35%Return points won+5%40%
64%Break points saved+1%65%
7.6Aces / match+1.75.9
2Double faults / match+0.82.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
—
Hurkacz H.
Fucsovics M.
6-36-756-74
Virtanen O.
Majchrzak K.
7-674-66-74
Mccabe J.
Bergs Z.[8]
6-726-27-64
—
Boogaard T.
Wu Y.
6-32-66-4
Borges N.
Atmane T.
6-46-4
Cilic M.
Shapovalov D.[7]
6-756-47-5
Griekspoor T.[6]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-26-726-4
Zhang Z.
Brooksby J.
7-645-76-1
Diallo G.
Mannarino A.
4-66-35-7
—
Humbert U.[5]
Ymer E.[6]
6-46-3
Bonzi B.[1]
Rottgering M.
6-46-4
Munar J.
Damm M.[3]
4-64-6
—
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
Fucsovics M.
6-36-4
Majchrzak K.
Mccabe J.
6-06-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Boogaard T.
6-34-67-66
Borges N.
Cilic M.
6-36-753-6
Griekspoor T.[6]
Zhang Z.
6-754-6
Mannarino A.
Rinderknech A.[4]
7-653-66-3
Humbert U.[5]
Bonzi B.[1]
4-66-33-6
Damm M.[3]
De Minaur A.[2]
6-785-7
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
Majchrzak K.
4-63-6
Medvedev D.[3]
Cilic M.
6-23-66-1
Zhang Z.
Mannarino A.
6-743-6
Bonzi B.[1]
De Minaur A.[2]
2-64-6
Majchrzak K.
Medvedev D.
Mannarino A.
De Minaur A.
4-60-5
—