Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer — s Hertogenbosch Round of 32

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 32

FRA

Ugo Humbert

#33ATP

1851ELO

1712Grass ELO

$775kYTD

$11MCAREER

27 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWLWLLW

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 18:05

grass

CENTRE COURT · 4th on

SWEQ

Elias Ymer

#184ATP

1570ELO

1519Grass ELO

$145kYTD

$2.4MCAREER

30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWWLWLL

Ugo Humbert won five games in a row to see off Elias Ymer 6-4 6-3 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 10: Ugo Humbert broke serve.
Set 2, game 2: Ugo Humbert broke serve.
Pressure points: Ugo Humbert converted 2 of 2 break points; Elias Ymer converted 0 of 0 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC

Humbert U.88%

Ymer E.12%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Humbert U. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Humbert U.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Ymer E.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.4+193 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.6Grass Elo 1519

8.5Overall Elo 1851

ELO gap

1.5Overall Elo 1570

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.65 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.47 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

8.5Reached the semis here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Humbert U.

662

Ymer E.

430