Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic — s Hertogenbosch Quarter-final
CROAround the match
Cilic mounted a comeback from a set down against Borges, winning 3-6 7-6(5) 6-3 to reach the quarterfinals where he will face Medvedev.
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Daniil Medvedev faces Marin Cilic in the s Hertogenbosch quarter-final on grass. Daniil Medvedev holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final.
Key context
- Last match: Marin Cilic dropped the opening set before beating Nuno Borges 3–6 7–6 6–3.
- Head-to-head: Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 3–1, 1–0 on grass. Last met at Roland Garros 2022.
- Fatigue load: Marin Cilic carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Stage: Daniil Medvedev defends last year's quarter-final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Medvedev D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Head to head
3–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Marin Cilic | 6-2 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-12-05 | Davis Cup Finals F: RTF vs CRO | RR | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(7) 6-2 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(3) 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | QF | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-6(7) |
Statistics
Recent formAverages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.