Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak — s Hertogenbosch Round of 32

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 32
FINWC
Otto Virtanen
#158ATP
1685ELO
1680Grass ELO
$135kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLLLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 6 · 1st on
POL
Kamil Majchrzak
#76ATP
1751ELO
1661Grass ELO
$354kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLWLW

Otto Virtanen faces Kamil Majchrzak in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32 on grass. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Otto Virtanen carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Stage: Otto Virtanen defends last year's round of 16.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 4 on grass recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC
Virtanen O.52%
Majchrzak K.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Virtanen O.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Majchrzak K.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1661
4.2Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1751
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
7.58 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
15°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Virtanen O.Majchrzak K.
60%1st serve in+4%64%
73%1st serve points won73%
52%2nd serve points won+4%48%
65%Service points won+1%64%
37%Return points won+2%35%
63%Break points saved+1%64%
7.4Aces / match+0.27.6
3.2Double faults / match+1.22

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw