Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino

s Hertogenbosch · ATP

CHN

Zhizhen Zhang

#214ATP

1659ELO

1581Grass ELO

29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWLLLLW

—

Sets

Friday, 12 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

FRA

Adrian Mannarino

#46ATP

1653ELO

1651Grass ELO

$445kYTD

$15MCAREER

37 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWLLLLLLLL

Zhizhen Zhang faces Adrian Mannarino in the s Hertogenbosch match on grass. Adrian Mannarino holds the paper edge — ranked #46, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Key context

Last match: Zhizhen Zhang edged Tallon Griekspoor in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Miami Masters 2026.
Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Stage: Adrian Mannarino defends last year's round of 16.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC

Zhang Z.44%

Mannarino A.56%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Zhang Z.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Mannarino A.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.1Grass Elo 1580

Surface ELO

5.9+70 Grass Elo edge

5.1Overall Elo 1659

ELO gap

4.9Overall Elo 1653

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.66 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

9.19 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Country comfort

6.0Won 67% in NED (33)

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

16°COvercast

Wind 16 km/hHumidity 92%

Head to head

1–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-03-18	Miami Masters	R128	hard	Adrian Mannarino	6-3 6-2
2024-05-06	Rome Masters	R64	clay	Zhizhen Zhang	6-1 6-3

Statistics

Recent form

Zhang Z.Mannarino A.

64%1st serve in+1%63%

72%1st serve points won+2%70%

48%2nd serve points won+1%49%

63%Service points won+1%62%

34%Return points won+1%35%

63%Break points saved+5%58%

7.8Aces / match+2.35.5

1.9Double faults / match+0.32.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32

R16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

Final

Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino — s Hertogenbosch