Kamil Majchrzak vs James Mccabe — s Hertogenbosch R16

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 16

POL

Kamil Majchrzak

#76ATP

1751ELO

1661Grass ELO

$354kYTD

$3.5MCAREER

30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

AUS

James Mccabe

#233ATP

1508ELO

1503Grass ELO

22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Kamil Majchrzak faces James Mccabe in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Kamil Majchrzak is the paper favourite — ranked #76, a roughly 160-point grass Elo advantage — but James Mccabe rides a 3-match win streak. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Kamil Majchrzak dropped the opening set before beating Otto Virtanen 6–7 6–4 7–6.
Last match: James Mccabe dropped the opening set before beating Zizou Bergs 6–7 6–2 7–6.
Fatigue load: James Mccabe carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Win streak: James Mccabe arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC

Majchrzak K.74%

Mccabe J.26%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Majchrzak K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Majchrzak K.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Mccabe J.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.0+158 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.0Grass Elo 1503

8.0Overall Elo 1751

ELO gap

2.0Overall Elo 1508

7.0Leads 1–0 on grass

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on grass

7.27 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.18 of last 10 on grass

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.