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Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff — WTA Finals Round Robin

WTA FinalsRound RobinHardThu 12 Nov · 12:00Indian Wells Tennis Garden · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Gauff C.
27%73%

Clear edge for Gauff C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kostyuk M.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Gauff C.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+67 Hard Elo edgeSupports Gauff C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2071Supports Gauff C.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Head-to-headLeads 4–1 on hardSupports Gauff C.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kostyuk M.
ELO2 087
Hard ELO1 871
Last 104–6
Age24
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.2M2026 $4.4M
ELO2 228
Hard ELO2 078
Last 107–3
Age22
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $36.8M2026 $7.1M

Marta Kostyuk faces Coco Gauff in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. Coco Gauff holds the paper edge — ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round-robin.

Key context

Common opponents

13 shared · last 12 months
All 13 opponents →

Kostyuk M. and Gauff C. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kostyuk M. went 12–11 (52%) against them, Gauff C. 14–10 (58%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 5 better-results split).

12–1152%Kostyuk M. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents14–1058%Gauff C. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
28–26Sets35–24
256–237Games298–258
2–1Tiebreaks4–3
4–4Deciding sets5–6
Show 10 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

6 meetings · Gauff C. leads 4–2
Full H2H →
24

Hard: Gauff C. leads 4–1 · Clay: Kostyuk M. leads 1–0

Evidence

Kostyuk M.Gauff C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate72% (36–14)74% (48–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20872228 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18712078 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 63 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)68%
Return points won46%47% (ahead)
Aces / match3.9 (ahead)3.1
ClutchLast 48 vs 63 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)54%

When it starts

Indian Wells Tennis Garden · Next on · Starting at 12:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Indian Wells Tennis Garden · 12:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast29°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity21%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kostyuk M.Gauff C.
1Days since last match1
2Matches · 7 days2
38 — fresherGames · 7 days49
2Matches · 14 days2
38 — fresherGames · 14 days49
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff — WTA Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-12/gauff-vs-kostyuk-wta-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 12 November 2026).