Iva Jovic vs Dayana Yastremska | Wuhan Round of 32

UMPIRY

WuhanR32HardWed 14 Oct · ~12:30Court 2 · After 1 match

Iva Jovic(10)WTA #11 · USA80%

VSStrong favourite · Jovic I.

Dayana YastremskaWTA #103 · UKR20%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Jovic I.

80%20%

Clear edge for Jovic I. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Jovic I.7.4/10

Dominant favourite

Yastremska D.4.8/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+114 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jovic I.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1906Supports Jovic I.

This eventReached the last 16 here last yearInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players

ELO2 038

Hard ELO1 851

Last 108–2

Age18

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $2.7M

ELO1 825

Hard ELO1 690

Last 104–6

Age26

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.0M2026 $929K

Iva Jovic faces Dayana Yastremska in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. Iva Jovic holds the paper edge — ranked #11, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Under pressure: Iva Jovic has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 91 vs Dayana Yastremska's 36).
Freshness: Workload contrast: Iva Jovic 61 games in 14 days, Dayana Yastremska 52.
Surface form: Iva Jovic 6 of 7, Dayana Yastremska 3 of 7 on hard recently — Iva Jovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

14 shared · last 12 months

Jovic I. and Yastremska D. faced 14 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jovic I. went 10–8 (56%) against them, Yastremska D. 5–12 (29%). Jovic I. came out better against 6 of 14 comparable opponents, Yastremska D. against 2.

10–856%Jovic I. · better vs 6Record vs common opponents5–1229%Yastremska D. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

24–19Sets14–26

205–189Games168–212

2–1Tiebreaks3–1

3–4Deciding sets2–4

vs Pegula J.#4L4-6 2-6Dubai · hardL7-5 2-6 3-6Brisbane · hard
vs Svitolina E.#6L6-7 2-6Auckland · hardL1-6 4-6Doha · hard
vs Shnaider D.#13W6-4 1-6 6-0Dubai · hardL3-6 1-6Tokyo · hard

Show 11 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Eala A.#19W6-4 6-2Roland Garros · clayL5-7 6-4 5-7Indian Wells · hard
vs Alexandrova E.#24W6-3 3-6 6-4Wimbledon · grassL3-6 0-6Abu Dhabi · hard
vs Fernandez L.#25L6-3 3-6 2-6Madrid · clayW6-1 6-2Brisbane · hard
vs Bejlek S.#30W7-6 6-4Auckland · hardW6-1 6-2s Hertogenbosch · grass
vs Paolini J.#33W6-2 7-6Australian Open · hardL5-7 3-6Roland Garros · clay
vs Bucsa C.#38W6-4 6-1Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · hardW6-4 5-7 6-3Wuhan · hard
vs Gibson T.#41L2-6 2-6Miami · hardW7-6 7-6Brisbane · hard
vs Tjen J.#47W6-0 6-1Hobart · hardL4-6 1-6Dubai · hard
vs Maria T.#71W6-1 6-2Wimbledon · grassL1-6 2-6Nottingham · grass
vs Tomljanovic A.#108L6-4 4-6 4-6Austin · hardL6-4 4-6 5-7s Hertogenbosch · grass
vs Stakusic M.#227L3-6 4-6Austin 125 · hardL4-6 3-6Merida · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jovic I.Yastremska D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–24–6

Season win rate66% (41–21)48% (19–21)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO20381825

Hard-court ELO18511690

Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 40 matches

1st-serve points won66%61%

Return points won46%43%

Aces / match2.32.2

ClutchLast 59 vs 40 matches

Break points saved58%50%

When it starts

Court 2 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Kartal S. v Bencic B.Starting at 11:00 AM
2This match: Jovic I. v Yastremska D.This match
3Tjen J. v Snigur D.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 2 · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast25°C · Overcast

Wind11 km/h

Humidity48%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Jovic I.Yastremska D.

6Days since last match9

1Matches · 7 days0

16Games · 7 days0

3Matches · 14 days3

61Games · 14 days52

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Iva Jovic vs Dayana Yastremska — Wuhan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/jovic-vs-yastremska-wuhan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).