Dayana Yastremska vs Talia GibsonBrisbane Round of 64

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 64
#67WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#58WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
Yastremska D.
7-6 7-6
Gibson T.
Yastremska D.
77772
Gibson T.
63640

Dayana Yastremska defeated Talia Gibson 7-6 7-6 in the Brisbane round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Talia Gibson came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gibson T.

Gibson T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Serve advantage — Gibson T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yastremska D.Gibson T.
11
Serve
60
25
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
60%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
83
Break points won·Clear edge
92
70
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 76 days (−1.2)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 41 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1733
Surface ELO
5.7+32 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1737
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
8.0
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Country comfort
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
97

Yastremska D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Gibson T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw