Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa — Wuhan Round of 128
Dayana Yastremska faces Cristina Bucsa in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Dayana Yastremska is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage — but Cristina Bucsa arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Dayana Yastremska's 2 of 6.
Key context
- Freshness: Dayana Yastremska comes in with 8 days of rest and 52 games in 14d, vs Cristina Bucsa's 17 and 0.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Cristina Bucsa rising, Dayana Yastremska cooling.
- Head-to-head: Dayana Yastremska leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Doha 2026.
Live Win Probability
iServe flowYastremska D. broken 3 times · Bucsa C. broken 4 times.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsYastremska D.Bucsa C.Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- BREAKSet 2 · Game 2Yastremska D. broke serve
- BREAKSet 2 · Game 1Bucsa C. broke serve
- SETSet 1 · Game 10Yastremska D. took the set
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 10Yastremska D. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 9Bucsa C. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 8Yastremska D. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Bucsa C. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Yastremska D. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 1Yastremska D. held to love
Bucsa C. came in with the higher hard rating (1747 vs 1690) and the better recent record (5–5 vs 4–6); Yastremska D. with the head-to-head lead (2–0).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playCommon opponents
7 shared · last 12 monthsYastremska D. and Bucsa C. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Yastremska D. went 4–3 (57%) against them, Bucsa C. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 2 better-results split).
vs Svitolina E.#6L1-6 4-6Doha · hardL4-6 1-6Australian Open · hard
vs Mboko V.#15W6-3 7-6Ningbo · hardL5-7 7-6 2-6Hong Kong · hard
vs Chwalinska M.#22W6-3 6-1Beijing · hardL2-6 2-6Cincinnati · hard
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vs Bejlek S.#30W6-1 6-2s Hertogenbosch · grassW7-5 4-6 6-1US Open · hard
vs Paolini J.#33L5-7 3-6Roland Garros · clayW7-5 6-4Merida · hard
vs Zhang S.#81W6-3 6-2Indian Wells · hardL6-2 5-7Strasbourg · clay- vs Stakusic M.#227L4-6 3-6Merida · hardW7-6 6-3Merida · hard
Head-to-head
2 meetings · Yastremska D. leads 2–0- Yastremska D.February 2026DohaHard6-4 4-6 7-6
- Yastremska D.February 2022LyonHard6-2 6-3
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/bucsa-vs-yastremska-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).